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Zonal flow vacillation with very long time-scales is observed in a
3070-day simple GCM simulation with zonally symmetric forcing. The
long lasting zonal wind anomalies suggest that zonal flow vacillation
is self-maintained. Wave-mean flow interactions are investigated by
composite analysis and transform Eulerian momentum budget
analysis. Nonlinear life-cycle simulations are conducted to
demonstrated that each extreme phase of the zonal flow vacillation is
a quasi-stable state and is self-maintained by the embedded synoptic
eddies.
The first EOF mode of zonal-mean wind shows an out-of-phase relation
between anomalies at 60S and at 40S with a barotropic
structure. This structure is similar to the dominant vacillation
pattern observed in the Southern Hemisphere. The composite jetstream
in the high (low) index phase of zonal flow vacillation shifts
poleward (equatorward) from the time-mean location and becomes broader
(narrower) and weaker (stronger). Composite eddies in the high index
phase tilt NW-SE and show mostly equatorward propagation, while eddies
in the low index phase have `banana' shapes and propagate both
equatorward and poleward. Transformed Eulerian momentum budget
analyses show that the differences of wave propagation between two
extreme phases result the anomalous eddy forcing needed to maintain
zonal wind anomalies against frictional damping.
Budget analyses also indicate that eddy momentum flux convergence is
the major positive forcing in both the extreme and transition
phases. Eddy baroclinic forcing exerts weak damping on the wind
anomalies in the upper troposphere, but acts together with residual
circulation forcing to counteract frictional damping near the
surface. The major balance during the index cycle is between eddy
barotropic forcing and residual circulation forcing in the upper
troposphere and between residual circulation forcing and frictional
damping in the lower troposphere. Further comparisons of eddy forcing
from various time-scale eddies show that the anomalous eddy forcing is
primarily provided by synoptic time scales. Two nonlinear life-cycle
simulations, started separately from the composite zonal flows of the
two extreme phases and finite-amplitude wavenumber 6 perturbations,
display the intensification of initial wind anomalies by the growing
eddies. A dual-jetstream structure appears in the life-cycle
simulation started from the high-index composite, and a more intense
single jetstream structure evolves from the low-index initial state.
It is noticed that maximum wind anomalies are established earlier at
higher latitudes than at lower latitudes. This suggests that the
mechanisms triggering transitions from one self-maintained phase to
the other operate at higher latitudes. It is suspected that barotropic
instability/stability is a possible triggering mechanism for
transition from one state to another.
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